U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."Financial institutions are in full swing, and a new round of "staking the land" is just around the corner. Recently, five departments jointly issued the Notice on the Full Implementation of the Personal Pension System. China securities journal reporter learned that when the personal pension system is fully rolled out, banks, insurance and other financial institutions with exhibition qualifications are already in full swing to prepare for the upgrading and optimization of personal pension business, and a new round of bank account opening, deposit and agency sales is about to start, and the product reserves of various financial institutions will also reach a new level. (CSI)
The US dollar index rose on the 12th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.23% that day and closed at 106.957 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0473 US dollars, lower than 1.0492 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2670, down from $1.2745 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.54 yen, down from 152.65 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8914 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8848 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4208 Canadian dollars, higher than 1.4162 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 11.0106, higher than SEK 10.9791 in the previous trading day.The balance of A-share financing reached a nine-year high. On December 12th, the A-share market opened lower and went higher. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by nearly 1%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1% and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by more than 1%. More than 3,500 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, with more than 150 stocks trading daily, and the big consumer sector broke out. The market turnover was 1.89 trillion yuan, which has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 52 consecutive trading days, setting a new record for the A-share market. In terms of funds, Wind data shows that as of December 11th, the financing balance in the A-share market was 1,875.85 billion yuan, a record high of over 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends. (CSI)Apple is said to start producing a key wireless chip currently provided by Broadcom next year. Apple's ambition to use self-developed components on its equipment will include switching to Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connection chips developed by itself from next year, which will replace some components currently provided by Broadcom. According to informed sources, this chip code-named Proxima has been developed for several years, and now it is planned to start the first batch of production in 2025. Like other self-developed chips of Apple, Proxima will be produced by its partner TSMC. This plan is independent of Apple's much-anticipated plan to replace the Qualcomm wireless modem, but the two parts will eventually work together. People familiar with the matter said that Apple's goal is to develop an end-to-end wireless solution that is tightly integrated with other components and more energy-efficient.
BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.There is still a worry about the imbalance between supply and demand. There is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)Raw sugar futures fell by 1.7%, coffee C fell by more than 0.6%, and new york cocoa rose by 1.9%, which once reached a record high. At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12), ICE raw sugar futures fell by 1.69% and ICE white sugar futures fell by 1.29%. ICE coffee "C" futures fell by 0.64% and rose to 348.35 cents/pound on December 10, and continued to pull back. Robusta coffee futures rose 0.45%. New york cocoa futures rose 1.93% to US$ 10,781/ton, and rose to US$ 10,900 at 23:23 Beijing time, a record high after a trading day. London cocoa futures rose 2.54% to 8063, and also rose to 8680 at 23:25, a record high for three consecutive days. ICE cotton futures fell 0.14%.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13